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#1   08.06.2023 08:30          
In a typical NFL season, Wild-Card Weekend is one of the most out-of-control and intense portions of the schedule, featuring a bunch of games that are e sentially to s ups. It might be 2018, but this Wild-Card Weekend appears to be keeping in the theme of 2017, with a group of games that all have teams favored by right around a touchdown each.None of the games should be surprising in terms of the line, though. The "Paper " never looked like a playoff team for the second half of the season and barely squeaked out a win in the final two weeks, with both games at home. The have weakne ses, but Andy Reid can hammer an early-round opponent in the playoffs. The Titans have been much worse when not at home, including going 3-5 against the spread away from Nashville.The have been one of the most public teams this season, but they didn't disappoint anyone, going 9-7 against the spread and 7-5 when favored. The have been topsy-turvy this season and just never clicked; if there is one game that doesn't feel like Carlos Beltran Jersey it should be a full touchdown, it's this one.Jacksonville has a home playoff game with -- ! -- and they're favored by almost double digits and it's kind of scary to bet AGAINST them. Worth noting: the are getting 55 percent of the bets in this game and the line keeps moving toward the . That's a major red flag, and yet it's tough to lay 9 points with this Jags offense. The being touchdown favorites over the , after opening up as 6-point favorites, shouldn't be a surprise either. New Orleans played Carolina twice this season and, well, ball don't lie. The Panthers lost 34-13 at home to the Saints and then lost 31-21 in New Orleans.What's worth remembering about all these games is that, even with the huge lines, it does not mean an upset has to happen. The Falcons can be J.R. Richard Jersey frisky and the Bills can compete with the Jaguars. It's hard to beat a team three times in one season, which the Saints will try to do. The Titans can attack a primary Chiefs weakne s (more on that below).But there were a bunch of big favorites last year too. The were 4-point favorites with at quarterback and still handily covered against the and Conner Cook. The snuffed out the and an injured 26-6, in a game that wasn't that close. Seattle was an 8-point favorite and covering was never in doubt. The were 11-point favorites over and the and won 30-12. There was a little backdoor potential there, but not really. And the punched the harder than Jr. punched a hole in the wall at Lambeau, beating them 38-13 in a game where they were favored five points the year before. In 2015, the Chiefs (hello) beat up on a questionable AFC South team in the wild-card round, thumping and the Texans so badly (30-0) they panicked and went out and signed BROCK OSWEILER. The Seahawks (-4.5) failed to cover as road chalk against Minnesota, and the Steelers (-3) failed to cover as road chalk against the that year. Those are different cases, especially when you add the road factor as well as the physical nature of Steelers/Bengals and the weather in Seahawks/Vikings. Vegas made a 1-point dog in Washington and paid for it dearly.The NFL has not been a dog-friendly world in the playoffs lately and it is not going to start this weekend. Saturday, Jan. 6 AFC:(5) (9-7) at (4) Kansas City (10-6), 4:35 p.m. ET (ESPN/ABC) NFC:(6) Atlanta (10-6) at (3) Los Angeles Rams (11-5), 8:15 p.m. ET (NBC) Sunday, Jan. 7 AFC:(6) Buffalo (9-7) at (3) Jacksonville (10-6), 1 p.m. ET (CBS) NFC:(5) Carolina (11-5) at (4) New Orleans (11-5), 4:40 p.m. ET (Fox) And now that the field and schedule are set, it's time to take a look at who is and isn't favored and more importantly, it's time to make picks. Let's get to it. Titans at Chiefs (-9)Kansas City against the spread: 10-6Kansas City against the spread as the favorite: 8-5Tenne see against the spread: 8-7-1Tenne see against the spread as the underdog: 2-1Falcons at Rams (-6.5)Atlanta against the spread: 7-9Atlanta against the spread as the underdog: 0-2Los Angeles against the spread: 9-7 Los Angeles against Francisco Liriano Jersey the spread as the favorite: 7-5Bills at Jaguars (-9)Buffalo against the spread: 9-6-1 Buffalo against the spread as the underdog: 4-5Jacksonville against the spread: 9-7 Jacksonville against the spread as the favorite: 6-5Panthers at Saints (-7)Carolina against the spread: 9-7 Carolina against the spread as the underdog: 5-2New Orleans against the spread: 9-7New Orleans against the spread as the favorite: 8-3 Chiefs (-9)This is a bunch of points and anyone who is picking the Titans will point to the Chiefs' biggest weakne s: stopping the run. Kansas City was , the worst in football. The Titans' thing they do the best? Run the ball. When they are a good team, it is because is creating i sues for the defense and is ripping off long runs. But I can't help myself here, I just don't trust the Titans. They laid an egg against the Rams in Week 16 and barely beat a Jaguars team with nothing to play for in Week 17. They will find a much more difficult test in stopping , and on the road. As a road team this year, Tenne see was 3-5 against the spread, failing to cover by an average of seven points per game. Kansas City was excellent at home, going 6-2 against the spread, winning those games by 7.2 points per game. Give me the better team with the better coach and the better offense. Rams (-6.5)This line keeps trending upward and I suspect that it could end up going over a touchdown once Justin Verlander Jersey all is said and done. It is dangerous to a sume the Rams won't be prepared in this game: Sean McVay has coaching and playcalling experience in the playoffs and everyone should be acutely aware of what a Wade Phillips defense can do in the postseason. should be Defensive Player of the Year; he will remind people of that in this game against a banged-up Falcons offensive line. Ultimately it's going to come down to execution in the red zone, for both teams. If either team settles for field goals in this potential shootout, it's going to be a loser. The Rams have to use their motion and their many weapons in order to keep the Falcons defense on its heels and if they can rip off big plays to limit the number of drives they need, they can force Atlanta to spend Aledmys Diaz Jersey a ton of time on the field. The gue s here is McVay can win the che s match and the Rams pull away late. The Falcons were 0-2 against the spread as a road dog this year, losing by a lot of points. They haven't looked right all season and it catches up to them here. Jaguars (-9)Ever since midseason I've been making a point of reminding myself not to bet on Bortles in the playoffs. The last two weeks have been a firm reminder of that, with Jacksonville struggling badly on offense. The Jags got embarra sed in San Francisco and then could muster only 10 points against the Titans in Week 17. But the motivation in those games wasn't really there -- Jacksonville clinched the AFC Sou

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